Another week to be great. Another week for chaos. Another week to win some picks.
Full transparency: I’m not off to a hot start this year. I’m sitting at 10-13 on my prime picks and currently in a slump—unsure, second-guessing myself. So this week, I’m narrowing it down to just five games where I genuinely love the odds.
Let’s regroup, enjoy the slate, and hopefully finish 5-0. Honestly, the lines this week kind of suck anyway… but my focus is on rebuilding confidence and reminding everyone why I’m the college football GOAT.
Let’s dive into this week’s picks. FYI: these are mostly vibes, not stats. Just how God intended college football betting to be.
Prime Picks – Week 4
UNLV @ Miami (OH) – OVER 49.5Â
Miami (OH) ranks 95th in total defense, while UNLV sits at 120th. Miami’s offense has been rough, but they’ve faced Big Ten teams on the road. I think this will be a fun one, and 50 points feels way too easy. Not much data here—just vibes.
Michigan @ Nebraska – Nebraska +1.5 & MLÂ
Nebraska has covered the spread in four of their last six home games. Their defense ranks 6th overall and 1st in total pass defense. The Biff Poggi interim head coach magic ends Saturday. Matt Rhule takes the win. Expect a gritty Big Ten brawl—Nebraska pulls through.
Maryland @ Wisconsin – Maryland +10.5Â
This one’s going to be tight. A classic Big Ten matchup that should result in a classic Big Ten game. No stats, no deep dive—just pure vibes. TRUST IT.
Marshall @ Middle Tennessee – Marshall -2.5Â
Marshall is 8-2 ATS in their last 10; Middle Tennessee is 3-7. Marshall’s defense will be too much for MTSU. They rank 9th in sacks per game, while MTSU is dead last in sacks allowed. QB Vattiato will be running for his life. This one’s for the sickos—ugly, but Marshall covers.
Michigan State @ USC – MSU +18.5Â
This game jumped out at me. It’s just too many points. MSU is 0-8 ATS in their last eight, so they’re due. USC has a tough matchup at Illinois next week—classic look-ahead spot. MSU looks improved and should give USC a run for their money.
Good Luck. Have Fun.
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DISCLAIMER: Making picks each week is all about fun for me. It helps me dive deeper into the games, dig up fun and interesting statistics, and learn more about the players and teams. That said, do not place bets solely based on my opinion—especially if you do not have the funds to do so responsibly. Please visit https://www.ncpgambling.org if you have a gambling problem or addiction.